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Oil Prices Gain: Venezuela, Iran Angst Sparks Monthly Rise | Mariner News

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Crude oil prices posted their first monthly gain in half a year, marking a significant shift driven primarily by escalating geopolitical tensions in Venezuela and Iran. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed 14 percent, while Brent crude oil saw a 16 percent rise in January, signaling a major market correction. This surge suggests a repricing of geopolitical risk that analysts believe was previously underestimated, shaking a market comfortable with surplus narratives.

Geopolitical Tensions Fueling Crude Oil Surge

The unrest in Venezuela and anxiety surrounding Iran’s situation were pivotal in propelling this oil price surge. Experts highlight that the market had significantly underpriced the potential for geopolitical disruption, leading to a rapid buy-back of “geopolitical optionality.” These events, though perhaps not fundamentally altering long-term supply balances, were sufficient to ignite a rally in a market trading as if no negative events could occur.

Market Reassessment and Supply Outlook

Despite this robust monthly performance for global oil prices, the broader energy market remains attentive to underlying glut concerns. While the January gains represent a substantial correction, some analysts suggest these geopolitical factors may not fundamentally reshape the overall supply outlook. However, the recent price action underscores the energy market’s sensitivity to regional instabilities and the critical role of political developments in influencing crude oil valuations.